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NSW business conditions survey: business is more optimistic

06 August, 2009

The latest NSW Business Chamber Business Conditions Survey has confirmed that business conditions in NSW are rebounding from the lows of earlier this year.

  • “There are reasons to hope that the recession might not be as deep or as prolonged in NSW.  It is clear that the Federal budget’s economic stimulus package has acted as a circuit breaker in terms of declining confidence”, said Stephen Cartwright, CEO of NSW Business Chamber.

The July 2009 NSW Business Chamber Business Conditions Survey found:

  • 43% of businesses thought the performance of the NSW economy was somewhat or much weaker in the current quarter, compared to 65% who thought the same in April, 
  • 30% of businesses expect better business conditions in the coming quarter, compared to 23% who expect a deterioration, and 47% expect conditions to stay the same, 
  • 47% have experienced a decline in profitability during the past quarter,           
  • Whilst 44% of businesses saw sales decline in last quarter, 36% of businesses expect an increase in sales in the coming  quarter and
  • Employment losses appear to be stabilising (15% expect an increase in number of employees, 17% expect decrease and 68% expect the same).

“Whilst there has been an improvement in the overall outlook of business, these figures confirm that businesses will continue to do it tough for some time, with a majority of businesses across most measures believing that business conditions will stay the same”.

“The survey reflects the ABS employment figures released last Thursday that demonstrate employers are cutting hours as an alternative to redundancy.  The last quarter saw 27% of businesses reduce hours and respondents indicating a moderation of fears about further job losses.

“We aren’t out of the woods yet, but there are glimmers of hope.  The quick action of the stimulus package and the lowering of interest rates by the Reserve Bank, appears to have acted as a circuit breaker in terms of domestic conditions, however further improvement is dependent on broader conditions in the world economy”.

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