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Construction growth hits '9-year high'

07 October, 2014

The Australian Industry Group/Housing Industry Association Australian Performance of Construction Index (Australian PCI) increased by 4.1 points to 59.1 in September.

This signals the industry's strongest pace of expansion in the nine years since the survey's inception (index readings above 50 points indicate an expansion in activity, with the distance from 50 indicative of the strength of the expansion).

The upturn in construction industry conditions reflected expanding activity across three of the four sub-sectors, led by house building (61.7 points) and apartment building (60.5 points).

Growth in commercial construction also picked up in September (up 3.0 points to 58.4), while engineering construction continued to contract but at a slower pace (up 4.6 points to 48.3).

New orders (up 1.5 points to 57.2) and construction activity (steady at 57.1) continued to expand strongly in September, leading to the highest rates of increase in the survey's history of both employment (up 9.1 points to 62.8) and supplier deliveries (up 10.8 points to 60.9).

"Continuing strength in house and apartment building and a consolidation of improved conditions in commercial construction outshone a further, modest contraction in engineering construction in September," Ai Group Director – Public Policy, Dr Peter Burn, said.

"In positive signs for the remainder of the year, new orders were strong in the three expanding sub-sectors and employment grew very solidly.

"Wages growth accelerated across the sector suggesting that, despite flat overall conditions in the labour market and the easing of activity in engineering construction, skill shortages may be beginning to reappear."

HIA Chief Economist, Harley Dale, said: "The latest Australian PCI is among a string of indicators signalling that the strong performance of the new residential construction sector should continue throughout 2014/15.

"The commercial construction sector finally appears to be following the lead of new residential construction, which is another pleasing outcome. It will be important for the broader economy that evidence of strong performance in residential and improving performance in commercial construction presents itself throughout 2014 and into next year.

"The current elevated focus and uncertainty around the potential implementation of restrictive lending practices, and sweeping generalisations on this subject, are not helpful to that evidence emerging."

Australian PCI – Key Findings for September:

  • The Australian Industry Group/Housing Industry Association Australian Performance of Construction Index (Australian PCI) grew for a fourth consecutive month in August, up 4.1 points to 59.1 – the strongest pace of expansion in the nine years since the survey's inception.
  • The construction activity sub-index was largely steady in September (down 0.8 points to 57.1).
  • New orders growth was stronger again this month, up 1.5 points to 57.2 – the highest level in 10 months.
  • Across the sub-sectors: house building continued to expand, reaching its highest level in nine months (up 0.8 points to 61.7); apartment building was again robust, despite a slower rate of growth (down 4.4 points to 60.5); and commercial construction expanded for third consecutive month (up 3.0 points to 58.4). Engineering construction contracted again, but at a slower pace (up 4.6 points to 48.3).
  • Construction employment expanded for a third consecutive month, rising 9.1 points to 62.8; and deliveries of inputs from suppliers climbed 10.8 points to 60.9 – both readings represent the highest rate of growth in the survey's nine-year history.
  • Despite the improvement in overall business conditions, pressures on profit margins remain strong: growth in the wages sub-index continued in September (up 3.1 points to 63.4); input costs also increased (up 1.6 points to 72.9); and selling prices came in slightly above the no-change threshold (up 2.1 points to 50.7).

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